Yields and nearshoring to power Peso ahead – ING

The Mexican Peso: A Force to be Reckoned With

The Mexican Peso has been making waves in the foreign exchange market as it continues to grow stronger against the US dollar. Despite the turbulent global economic climate, the MXN has been one of the strongest currencies, making Mexico an attractive destination for foreign investors. According to economists at ING, the USD/MXN pair is expected to continue its downward trend in the coming months.

One key indicator of Mexico’s growing influence on the global economy is the announcement by Tesla that its next gigafactory will be built in the country. This move is expected to bring in up to $5 billion in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), which is a significant amount given that Mexico typically sees $30-32 billion in FDI inflow per year. The news has been welcomed by the Mexican economy, which is already benefitting from a risk-adjusted yield that is one of the highest in the world.

The Mexican central bank, Banxico, has been keeping pace with the US Federal Reserve in terms of interest rate hikes, which has helped to maintain the strength of the MXN. As long as Banxico continues to hike, it is unlikely that the MXN will weaken significantly. In fact, according to the projections by the economists at ING, the USD/MXN pair is expected to further decline in the coming months.

Nearshoring in Action

While the Mexican Peso has been an attractive prospect for foreign investors, there are other factors that are contributing to the growth of the Mexican economy. One example is nearshoring, which has become a popular strategy for businesses looking to reduce costs while maintaining quality.

Nearshoring is the practice of outsourcing business processes or services to a nearby country, rather than to a more distant location. For businesses based in the US, Mexico is an ideal location for nearshoring due to its close proximity and shared time zone. Furthermore, Mexico’s business regulations are similar to those in the US, making it easier for companies to operate in the country.

The benefits of nearshoring extend beyond cost savings. By operating close to their customers, businesses can improve their supply chain efficiency and responsiveness. Additionally, by working with companies in nearby countries, businesses can reduce the risks associated with cultural and language barriers that can arise when outsourcing to distant locations.

The trend towards nearshoring has been growing in recent years, and Mexico has been a major beneficiary of this trend. With its strong economy and attractive business regulations, Mexico is well positioned to continue to attract foreign investment and become a major player in the global economy.

The Challenges Ahead

Despite the positive outlook for the Mexican economy, there are several challenges that need to be addressed in order to sustain its growth. One of these challenges is the issue of corruption, which has long been a problem in Mexico. Corruption can deter foreign investors and harm the country’s reputation, making it more difficult to attract investment in the long run.

Furthermore, Mexico is facing threats from its northern neighbor, the United States, which has been implementing protectionist policies that could harm the Mexican economy. The US has been renegotiating the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), which has the potential to disrupt trade relations between Mexico and the US. Additionally, the US has been imposing tariffs on Mexican goods, further complicating the trade relationship between the two countries.

Another challenge facing Mexico is its dependency on the tourism industry. While the tourism sector has been a major source of revenue for Mexico, it is also a vulnerable sector that can be impacted by external factors such as natural disasters, political instability, or global health crises.


Despite the challenges facing the Mexican economy, the country remains an attractive destination for foreign investors. Its strong economy, attractive business regulations, and the trend towards nearshoring all point towards continued growth in the coming years. The Mexican Peso’s strength against the US dollar, combined with the upcoming FDI from Tesla, highlight the potential for the Mexican economy to become a major player in the global economy. However, the Mexican government must take meaningful steps to address corruption and work to maintain positive trade relations with the US in order to achieve sustained growth in the future.


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